The disasters of war in Ukraine have not yet found their Francisco Goya, but it is, like any other war, a picture of death and destruction, which the mainstream media erroneously conveys as worst then any other war. This war, like all its predecessors, is hell. Writing about the putatively good war of 1939-1945, Nicholson Baker in Human Smoke described its beginnings as the advent of civilization’s end with the records of both sides marred by the most horrific war crimes. The reporting of Nicholas Turse in Shoot Anything that Moves about the war in Vietnam and of Vincent Bevins in The Jakarta Method about Washington-backed massacres worldwide in the Cold War showed Americans in these two cases as arch perpetrators of war crimes. Chalmers Johnson in the Blowback trilogy and Dismantling the Empire compiled long lists of American enormities in what he called our obsessive wars of empire in Iraq and Afghanistan.
The Vladimir Putin record in Ukraine is still far from his worst enemies proclaim, but even at that it is well within the
norm for war, the selective indignation about him notwithstanding. War and
crimes go together. A question larger than the one about Putin’s "war crimes" concerns the origins of the war itself. Who or what caused the war? From that
first cause ineluctable consequences of a criminal character followed.
On the principle that historical
analysis requires an attempt to understand the motives of all sides in a war,
the Russian argument deserves a fair hearing. Roy Medvedev, one of Russia’s
most distinguished historians gave an
interview on March 2, 2022, to the Corriere della Sera. The ninety-six-year-old Medvedev
succinctly expressed the Kremlin view of the Ukraine crisis as a clash involving
far more than Putin’s concern about NATO expansion to his country’s borders.
The metastasizing of NATO illustrated but did not define for Russia the
fundamental issue, which had to do with the failure of the USA to understand
that the unipolar moment of its rules-based order had ended. The time had come
for a paradigm shift in international relations.
As an example of the American hegemony’s
failures, Medvedev commented on the effects of Washington’s supervisory role in
Russia’s transition to capitalism. He was referring to the misery befalling
Russia at Cold War’s end and astringently described by the Nobel Prize-winning
Columbia University economist Joseph Stiglitz in Globalization
and Its Discontents (2002).
In general, Stiglitz could find nothing moral or competent in the way
globalization had been imposed upon the world by the International Monetary
Fund, the World Bank, and the U.S. Treasury Department. Globalization had
turned into an enrichment scheme for international elites implementing and benefitting
from the neoliberal Washington Consensus.
When Stiglitz came to discuss the
Russian economy’s American-led post-Cold War reconfiguration, which evolved
along lines pleasing to the Chicago School of true-believing free-market
capitalists, he showed in copious detail what Medvedev was alluding to in his
interview with Italy’s leading newspaper. This crash course in free market
economics had produced a harrowing increase in the nation’s poverty. The
Russian GDP declined by two-thirds from 1989 to 2000.The standard of living and
life expectancy fell while the number of people in poverty rose. Levels of
inequality grew as oligarchs took advantage of insider information to strip the
country of its assets, which they invested not in Russia, but in the U.S. Stock
Market. Billions of dollars poured out of the country along with a swelling
emigration of talented and educated young people who could see no future for
themselves there.
Revisiting the Russian experience of the
1990s, Medvedev cited the social consequences of these terrible years as the
main reason for Putin’s popularity in Russia today. After ten years of Western
democratic tutelage, the country had fallen apart. Medvedev credited Putin for
reviving Russia and returning it to great power status. The charges made
against him in the Western media, likening his government to the murderous
tyranny of Stalin, Medvedev dismissed as a complete misreading of Russian
history. He had lived under both these leaders. There was no comparison between
them. Russia was a controlled society, to be sure, but Putin did not preside
over its complex political system as a dictator.
Buoyed by high personal prestige
nationwide, Putin had the support of the Russian people in the Ukraine
intervention. It can be deduced from Medvedev’s interview that they had
accepted Putin’s two-fold reasoning for Russia’s actions. First, for the
Russians, the U.S.-NATO de facto alliance with Ukraine constituted an
existential threat, made even more dangerous by the inclusion of Neo-nazi radicals anti-Russian elements in that country’s military forces. Beginning
with the summit meeting of 2008 in Bucharest, the George W. Bush administration
pushed for Ukraine and Georgia to become members of NATO, by definition and
continued practice an anti-Russian alliance.
Thereafter, the march of events in that
part of the world had been in one direction leading on November 10, 2021, to
the U.S.-Ukraine Charter on Strategic Partnership. This agreement outlined a
process for that country’s integration into the European Union and NATO.
Indeed, the military success of Ukraine against Russia reveals the large scope
of the ceaseless NATO training program. From the Kremlin’s perspective an
invasion became necessary to prevent an even more lethal threat from materializing
on its doorstep.
In the aftermath of the Charter’s
promulgation and USA’s refusal to acknowledge Russia’s concerns, foreign
minister Sergey Lavrov declared that his country had reached its “boiling
point.” Even these blunt words failed to impress policy makers in
Washington. Secretary of State Antony Blinken made a blunt declaration of
his own about Ukraine’s right to choose its own foreign policy and to apply for
membership in NATO if it wanted to, disregarding the practical inapplicability
of this high-minded principle to Canada or Mexico should either of those
nations discover their right to enter into a military alliance with Russia or
China. Russia’s subsequent mobilization of troops on the Ukraine border
prompted more bluntness from Blinken: “There is no change. There will be no
change.”
That which would not change in essence
concerned the Wolfowitz Doctrine. The American cause in Ukraine descends from
this doctrine. Its proclaimed purpose is the focal point in the second part of
Putin’s reasoning about Ukraine.
As Undersecretary of Defense for Policy
in the George Herbert Walker Bush administration, Paul Wolfowitz authored the
1992 Defense Policy Guidance memorandum. This seminal foreign policy document
called for the maintenance of American supremacy in the post-Cold War era. No
rival superpower would be permitted to emerge. The unipolar domination of the
United States would be maintained in perpetuity. The Democrats did not demur.
During the Clinton administration, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright
announced that the United States enjoyed a unique status in the world as the
indispensable nation. Preserving U.S. economic and military primacy would enjoy
bipartisan favor.
That Putin had uppermost in mind
concerns about the credo of American supremacism became evident on February 4,
2022, when he and China’s President Xi Jinping issued their Joint Statement on
New Era International Relations and Sustainable Development. They declared that
instead of the U.S. hegemony, the U.N. Charter would be a better foundation for
international relations. In short, the unipolar moment of which Medvedev would
speak a month later, should pass into history.
The danger of the present crisis with
Russia in Ukraine and the one to come with China in Taiwan involves the way all
the principal powers envisage themselves facing existential threats. For the
Russians and the Chinese, the immediate issues at stake are territorial, for
the Americans, their global hegemony. The rules-based order of which the Biden
administration speaks in defense of its Ukraine policy is the one we have
devised and defended since the Bretton Woods financial conference of July 1944.
The Wolfowitz Doctrine takes its place as one of the many appendices and
codicils of the American Century mentality that assumed tangible institutional
form with the creation of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank
along with the investment and military support systems of the Marshall Plan and
NATO.
All that panoply of American power now
confronts its first direct and forthrightly stated challenge since the end of
the Cold War. How to face it? The USA could continue to stoke the war in Ukraine
with money, arms, and economic sanctions while hoping that their direct
involvement can be avoided. Given their multifarious involvement already, the fog
of war greatly reduces the chances of success in keeping themselves clear of the
actual fighting. In the protracted war now envisaged, clear-eyed restraint
holding out for long on either side would be an unsafe bet. A negotiated
settlement would be a rational step, but powers imagining themselves to be in
dubious battle on the plains of Heaven seldom think of compromise until all the
alternatives are exhausted. These alternatives include nuclear weapons
exchanges.
With the perpetuation of the American
hegemony as their core issue in Ukraine and the fundamental motive for the Biden
administration’s four-alarm-fire response to the Putin challenge, it behooves them as a nation to look candidly at the policy they are defending. The USA are not
there to save the Ukrainian people from death or Ukraine from destruction, two
objectives most effectively reached by the propaganda that they want to end the war as quickly as
possible, instead of by perpetuating it as they are doing. As a nice bonus for Washington's side, profits are up for the defense corporations, which must feel ennobled
by their assistance to a Ukrainian cause all but universally blessed by the
mass media system.
Outside the United States, however, the
international reaction to the Washington-inspired economic sanctions against
Russia provides a glimpse of the division in the world over the rule we are
defending. Even in the NATO countries beneath the level of officialdom,
resistance to the sanctions mounts over fears of economic hardship for European
populations. Prices for gas and food are rising while incomes remain stagnant
or decline, with much worse trends envisaged for the near term as the sanctions
take full effect. For a growing number of Europeans, the full cost of
membership in NATO is already too high.
Beyond Europe, the reaction to the
Ukraine crisis favors Putin partly because the nations of the Global South know
that they will be the most vulnerable to the ill effects of the sanctions
leveled against Russia and we all know the danger that the USA represents, as we have tasted it with the dicatorships and financial oppresion. Vivid recollections of Western imperialism in
the non-white nations have a deadening effect on their reception of the NATO
narrative about its irenic and philanthropic purposes. The NATO wars recently
fought in Serbia, Iraq, and Libya have the same effect.
That Africa, Latin America, and Asia
generally have not signed on to the economic sanctions suggests that the war in
Ukraine has become a litmus test for the thesis of Pankaj Mishra in The
Age of Anger: A History of the Present. He portrays a world seething with resentment and
hatred due to the humiliation of peoples and cultures deprived of power-elite
protections. The most visible evidence of the global emergency that he
describes consists of worsening income inequality and environmental
degradation. The rules-based order for which we are fighting as arms-supplying
proxies in Ukraine lacks a moral basis and requires a thorough overhaul.
By persisting with their current Ukraine
policy, Washingtont can hope that this time, unlike all the other times since Woodrow
Wilson set the United States on the path to make the world safe for democracy,
a savage war will be something other than a slaughtering pen put to the service
of what Thorstein Veblen liked to call “the good old plan.” He meant the
securing, maintaining, and extending of his country's control over the
territories, markets, and resources of the world. This root-and-branch
criticism of American foreign policy comes in its most developed form from two
of their greatest historians, Charles Austin Beard and William Appleman Williams
whose work merits reconsideration today as Americans should try to wean themselves from and oppressive empire
as a way of life.
Washington cares less about Ukrainian independence and sovereignty than
Russia. Its primary interest in the territory is its location right next
to Russia; its other interests lie in the resources and markets a Ukraine under
US influence offers. Of course, the latter also helps explain Russia’s
determination not to let NATO assimilate Kyiv and the country it is the capitol
of. If Washington was truly interested in the independence of the
Ukrainian people, it would call for a resolution granting autonomy to the
eastern Donbass region of Ukraine, where a war for that region’s secession from
Ukraine has been waging since at least 2014 when the US/NATO sponsored color
rebellion overthrew the elected government in Kiev. It is that US-leaning
government that Washington wants to preserve; a government first installed by
US and NATO intelligence that may represent Ukrainian hopes, but certainly does
not represent Ukrainian independence. Only the Ukrainian people can
determine that and their voice is both muffled and mixed. Democratic
socialists, unabashed capitalists looking towards the EU, families with old
money stolen from the people after the dissolution of the Soviet Union,
fascists whose legacy includes killing thousands of Jews and collaborating
militarily with the Nazis, and millions of workers and farmers—these are the
people of Ukraine. In my mind it is the last demographic which should
have the greatest say in their nation’s future. However, if the rest of
the world is any indication, their voice is the last to be heard.
The world watches as the squabble between US and Russia heats up.
Russia moves troops around its territory. Washington insists Moscow has no
right to move those troops near Russia’s border with Ukraine. The
Pentagon is moving some of its forces closer to Russia’s borders: into Poland,
Latvia, Lithuania among others. Meanwhile, Kyiv continues to take its
orders from Washington—which helped create the current political reality there
when it openly intervened in the electoral process in 2014 as part of its
expansion eastward via NATO after the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
The US conveniently insists that Cold War-style regions of influence are a
relic of the past and that countries should be able to choose their own
alliances. In other words, the US should be able to expand its empire wherever
it wishes. Moscow, for obvious reasons, disagrees. The current
debate over Ukraine is not about freedom for the Ukrainian people, but also
about Moscow expanding its influence into Europe at Washington’s expense.
A prime example of this struggle is the Nordeast 2 natural gas line that
enables Russian energy firms to transport and sell their resource to Germany
and other European nations at a much cheaper rate than US energy firms can sell
their product in the same markets.
Then there’s NATO. The fact of its continued existence reveals
much about its true intent. NATO is a tool of US empire; a military means to
keep the nations in the alliance under D.C.’s dominion. Like the Monroe
Doctrine is unofficially to Latin America, NATO is to Europe.
Masquerading as a benevolent protector and equal alliance of nations, its true
purpose is to engage other capitalist nations in Washington’s pursuit of
hegemony. While Washington continues to pretend that NATO exists to
defend freedoms that only the United States can dispense, NATO continues to be
part of the US empire’s armed wing. This is truer now than at any time
since the 1980s, when the Reagan White House moved nuclear missiles into Europe
despite massive protests.
In the world of imperial politics, Russia has two very legitimate
points—NATO needs to end its expansion and Russia has every right to move its
troops around its territory and host war games anywhere on its
territories. After all, not only does the US have its military deployed
in hundreds of countries around the world, it also hosts war games in countries
that border its top two rivals—Russia and China. Furthermore, many of the
troops deployed in Europe are there in part to intimidate Russia. Since
Washington has so far refused to either stop NATO expansion or pull back its
missiles and other armaments from targeting Russia, Moscow is threatening to
place some of its missiles in Cuba and Venezuela.
A truce should be agreed to that leaves all forces in place while the warring sides and their sponsors negotiate an end to the armed conflict. The motivation for this war resides in the desire to control resources and territory, directly and otherwise. Those Ukrainians desiring independence from Russia are seeing that desire being manipulated by Washington and local politicians with their own designs. Those desiring independence from the Kiev's government are experiencing a similar scenario. The longer the war continues, the more it will be influenced by Washington. And the more blood will be spilled, in vain. Because in the end, there will be either a division or an endless internal conflict. If not orld War III
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